Marco Estrada is off to a great start and so are the Brewers, but I'll take the value I am getting on the Cards here. Estrada has a 2.31 ERA but he has a 3.95 XFIP and is walking 3.86 guys per 9 he's very lucky with a 89.3 left on base percentage. The Cardinals are a very good bunch of hitters and will be able to score with runners on as they are hitting .338 in 130 AB against Estrada with a .918 OPS. In 7s tarts he posts a 6.58 ERA vs. the Cards.
Shelby MIller on the other hand has a 2.03 ERA and the Brewers have a .218 average and .553 OPS in 78 AB. The Brewers have struggled in 7 home games against RHP scoring less than 3 runs per game take the Cards.
